investing [tag]

Editorial | 2023.01.30
Money and boredom

In this post: the Madoff documentary, Elon finally dials it back, and two nutjob comics shout at one another.
I ran across a list of financial movies. It includes stuff I wouldn't consider in-scope for this list (e.g. The Wolf of Wall Street and Moneyball), but there are some titles I'll check out.

Infopost | 2023.01.24

Financial stuff from yesterday and today.

Editorial | 2022.12.16

Memelords and bad photoshops.

Editorial | 2022.12.12

This post is kind of hefty, so let's start with a couple of adorable pics from the zoo.

Infopost | 2022.10.17

A few of the world/economic news storylines that I've been following seem to have intertwined. Or at least the twines are quite close to each other.

Review | 2022.09.03

In this post:

Infopost | 2022.08.14

It's been a busy week for F5 keys across the country. Monday morning greeted me with this:

Infopost | 2022.07.18

It seems like everyone is on the lookout for catalysts and indicators. One of the recent ones was vehicle repossessions. Sure enough, that was a thing in 2008:

Review | 2022.06.18

Footwear, Netflix, and a bad week for CPI and crypto.

Storypost | 2022.06.10

The major indices were on the rise at the end of June but sentiment seems to indicate that we're on a pretty significant downslope. Probably don't buy every dip.

Infopost | 2022.05.24
This is fine

A few weeks ago I talked about real estate, margin loans, and Elon Musk. I wasn't entirely convinced by a WSBer's assertion that we were headed for another real estate meltdown, though I think a market and real estate pullback is long overdue. Nothing has kerploded, but there's another chapter in this saga. (Fair warning: this post has plenty of other people's crude language and usernames.)

Storypost | 2022.05.14

Investing, video gaming, internetting, parenting, learning - the usual.
Pretty much this. For all of the wary investing I've been doing - from moving my 401k to bonds in 2017 to holding way too much UVXY while actively investing in 2021 - I still got caught out more than I'd like in this recent pullback. The way it goes: TSM loses 10% within the week (my CSP/CC expiration) and so I hold as it slides lower. Now I'm either taking a bigger loss or joining DCA gang.

Infopost | 2022.05.03

In this post: construction, code, and catching falling knives.
I think the most specific term for this is "margin borrowing". There are a few similar concepts that are important to be wary of when looking at data:

Storypost | 2022.04.27

I haven't started a new playthrough of Dragon Age Origins, I just dug up an illustrative image.

Storypost | 2022.04.06
Not looking back

Whether or not covid is truly in our rearview, everything has returned to the pre-2020 norm (more or less).
The market is in the midst of a totally-predictable pullback right now. There's not a lot to say about it so I'll post some of the interesting/funny bits from Jon Stewart's recent investing/meme stock AMA. It's also an opportunity to show off my new threaded conversation html thingy:
I'm not an iphone person so I don't know much about it, but DWAC has been in investing headlines.

Storypost | 2022.01.24

This one is all about plateaus and precipices. And other things.

Infopost | 2022.01.01

Changing the calendar number from 2021 to 2022 means there's data to be analyzed.

Storypost | 2021.12.19
Off repeat

So other than progressing plot and content, I don't expect to have much to add to my initial take on Far Cry. Well, except a surprise visit from Danny-f'in-Trejo.

Review | 2021.12.13
On repeat

Another variant, another Far Cry, another Cowboy Bebop, another L4D, another Nioh, another Mass Effect. Oh yeah, and I mentioned all of them last month. (What I'm saying is my post title is totally on point.)

Infopost | 2021.11.08
The upswing

So everyone's agreed there's going to be a market pullback, right? Any day now. Yeah, I know, bears have successfully predicted 4 out of the last 20 crashes. If this is sustainable, I'll eat my modest gains and some crow. So let's set that aside and assume we'll drill *at some point*.

Storypost | 2021.11.07

After a covid year off, Friendsgiving returned to San Marcos where we squeezed eight families into a not-particularly-code-compliant VRBO. The last part isn't all bad; it meant there was a 30' waterslide and we could play Danger Pong.
Well, not really a yolo, more like an attempt to buy the hype. NPR had told me that this season's Supreme Court agenda has a lot of guns and reproductive rights. Investing in the latter isn't super straightforward, but in the case of the former, it looks like an NY gun group is suing to get universal CCW.
Anyway, my YOLO was RGR, SWBI, and OLN. In the (investing) best case, SCOTUS says, "CCWs for all" and these tickers go to the moon. Either from hype or a real arms race. In the worst case, the perma-bull market keeps pumping. Well, that's the worst case in this market, in reality this news has coincided with RGR earnings which weren't so good for share price.

Storypost | 2021.10.10

Posting has been somewhat hamstrung. For one, I've upgraded my phone and camera hardware. The other blocker has been an overhaul of my photo preprocessor.

Storypost | 2021.08.22

Let's start with the hardest-hitting item. Costco has a $200 handle of baijiu. I'm not sure if it's more shocking that someone decided bamboo liquor was worth importing or that there is a baijiu that costs more than 8 yuan.

Storypost | 2021.07.27
Everything is cool

Breakthrough cases? Pshhh, this is fine. Right?

Infopost | 2021.07.17
Just buy SPY

Not really. Well, do what you want, this just a journal of investment adventures not a source of investment advice. The title is just a catchy way to talk about my mid-year report card and another fun chapter in the LMC saga.

Storypost | 2021.07.12
Up and down

Well, we still don't have flying cars, but it looks like space tourism has finally arrived.

Lulzpost | 2021.07.06
To the moon

Infopost | 2021.07.04
Lambos or shambos

Big moves this week for the two tickers I've been following most closely. First, some (dark) giggles about a company I don't go near in any sense:
Fanboys of LMC, NKLA, CLOV and other Hindenburg targets always kneejerk to short seller bias and claim that it somehow invalidates everything they say. This assertion isn't worth a second thought, but it seemed worth checking on older Hindenburg investigations to see how frequently they are on- or off-target. You know, it's something to read when you have a kid on one arm and you want her to learn smart investing.

Storypost | 2021.06.25
The show goes on

A lot going on in this one, here's a quick table of contents:

Infopost | 2021.06.15
Bro, the humanity

So I previously talked about being a huge fan of vaporware and the figureheads that hype them. This weekend I even rounded out my '08 crash trilogy with its Enron prequel.
I enjoy the Hindenburg writeups, in part because they are very approachable and lack the "I'm in finance, you wouldn't understand" attitude that's common in the industry. Is their simplicity probably a way to reach both institutionals and retail to maximize impact? Probably. But to echo the common investing refrain, "do your own research". The Hindenburg hit pieces provide most of their source material (save whistleblower identities) rather than simply say, "Trust me, my investment firm is worth $x billion."
Lolllllllllll reachingggg. You guys have heard of Amazon, right? Or any other company that operates at a loss to create a user base. Uber. Ant. Pied Piper. I'm not saying it's a great business model, but it's certainly worked enough to not be considered an investing black mark - especially when you're trying to create a user base in a new(ly legal) market.

Storypost | 2021.06.13

The Kevin Smith's Ankle Memorial Palapa has also received the apt nickname The Baby Stable. With the supporting structure built, the wall and roof materials arrived.

Storypost | 2021.06.02

I tried to think of a better title - I really did. It's bad now, but in a couple years I'm going to say, "A portmanteau *and* that word we no longer use, spluh". But, like, that's what it was. Memorial Day weekend and then the memening of GME, AMC, and BB. There's no other way to describe it. I'm sorry but I will not apologize.

Storypost | 2021.05.26
Risk mitigation

The backyard terraces need fencing. Since there are two terraces, it almost made sense to connect the two and create a verdana/gazebo/pergola/palapa over the middle terrace.

Storypost | 2021.05.08

This guy no longer has to worry about covidd (spelled thusly: c-o-v-i-d-d, the extra 'd' is for a double dose of the Moderna).

Storypost | 2021.04.08
Investment drama

The WSB v. hedgie class war briefly took a back seat last week as an unrelated institutional investor caused Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs to do a Margin Call LARP.

Review | 2021.03.15
Follow up

I had put my max difficulty/evil plot arc Fire Emblem playthrough on ice so that I had something to do on flights and layovers for our Jamaica trip.

Storypost | 2021.03.12

Danielle arrived.

Storypost | 2021.02.09

Failing miserably is something that everyone does from time to time. They either obsess over it or pretend to grow from it while quietly obsessing over it. Sometimes the fails aren't of the "I did the right thing and didn't succeed" flavor but more of the "I know better but still did it" flavor. The beginning of February has been pretty faily in kilroysville, but I see it as an opportunity to grow.

Storypost | 2021.01.30
GME volume

Wednesday saw GME go mainstream after being largely contained in Reddit, financial news, and specific social media streams. The latter half of the week was all about the "retail traders who took on Wall Street". Chief among them is DFV himself:

Storypost | 2021.01.26
Will Gamestop?

On Friday, Gamestop had rocketed to the 70s and closed the week more modestly. I decided to fomo in; if the millennial traders were going to yeet the rich, I had better join them in case I end up against the wall some day.

Infopost | 2021.01.23

Today in the Financial Times of Kilroy: what the heck happened on Friday and what's going to happen Monday?

Infopost | 2021.01.02
The next break

It's 2021 now. Not too different from 2020 but people are more optimistic.
A new calendar year is a chance to take a look at the year I started actively investing. Etrade provides a helpful comparison to indexes, but it isn't particularly useful due to the inseparable inclusion of ESPP.

Infopost | 2020.12.25
Staying warm by the fire

Whether it's the fireplace, the geforce, or sunny surf sessions, xmas vacation has been about staying warm.

Gallerypost | 2020.12.06
Edges and corners

The first week of December almost always brings one of the biggest swells of the year. This one wasn't epic, but good enough to take a vacation Friday for some 0730 shooting and 0930 surfing. The lead image is a pretty good depiction of the difference between pre-sunrise shots and early-sunrise shots. The Black's cliffs make for a pretty tight window for good lighting.

Storypost | 2020.11.29

Since it was just the two-ish of us, Jes and I went to the Lodge for Thanksgiving lunch.

Storypost | 2020.11.01

Derrick put together a crew for a stealth mission over in Del Mar. I ordered a ball mount dive light from Amazon to help address the challenge of focusing at night. Frustratingly, I ran into the same issue that I experienced with some cables for my media room buildout, they simply sent me the wrong item and right label.

Infopost | 2020.10.17
Cash-secured put

So last time I let people offer to buy my shares at a higher price than I paid, taking guaranteed money and keeping the collateral if the share price doesn't go high enough.

Infopost | 2020.10.10

A little starfighter chat and then my next iteration in trading. I passed pilot level 15 after maybe a dozen dogfights and fleet battles, that doesn't intrinsically mean much except in the context of unlockables. I have most of the mods I want, leaving a few to acquire for tuning and experimentation. And I've acquired some fun cosmetics like the Twi'lek skin and some neat fighter paint jobs. I'm pretty happy with the rate of unlocks, though it'd be neat to have more variety in cosmetics.
The slightly-more-active approach to bull market investing is the set a limit sell price: "I'm buying 10 shares of NVDA at $500 and telling my broker to sell when it hits $550". You'll get an email when your $5,000 investment has turned into $5,500 and it's hopefully sooner than retirement. You might miss out on NVDA going to $600, or be protected against it going to $557 before spending an eternity below your purchase price. You take profit at some undefined point in the future and can then re-invest and earn Warren's approval.

Storypost | 2020.09.09
The four horsemen

You already know about the covid, now you know about the sharks. The (relatively mild) brushfires have given the sunlight a pleasant orange tone.

Storypost | 2020.08.27
Go right

Covid continues, but the surge appears to have tailed off some. I guess this is the new normal until one of the many "almost-there" vaccines works out.

Storypost | 2020.08.08

Covid time is time to revisit old projects and entertainment.
And here's how much I'm just pushing buttons and calling it investing, I had a couple of bonds get called and had no idea what that meant. Well, it's when the issuer decides to pay them off early. Seems to make sense when interest rates are low, if you have the cash on hand or a better finance option. Anyway, since etrade is so terrible, I can't find the specific notification, but it was a California muni, meaning I probably took a loss on the whole thing. If it's not obvious:
I was probably in the red on this one, but not enough to care more than to now click "Exclude callable" when looking for new bonds. There's some more info here. Strangely, that article doesn't mention the flip side:
Investing in pre-release Steam games has been good.

Storypost | 2020.07.17
Heating up

July is here, that means 80-degree days/70-degree nights, bbq, and crowded beaches - despite the whole pandemic situation.

Storypost | 2020.07.03
High/low country

The album isn't new or anything, just decided to use the art.