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A global macro strategy is a hedge fund or mutual fund strategy that bases its holdings primarily on the overall economic and political views of various countries or their macroeconomic principles.
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Is this yet another reason to go cash/oil gang? The Ukraine saga has taken a few interesting turns since
last time.
For one, Russia has kept up the propaganda about NATO being an aggressor. Assuming this move has been planned for years, it
paints all of the last administration's anti-NATO rhetoric in a new light. Perhaps Putin expected a more destabilized NATO and figured he'd go ahead with the stress test anyway.
People talk about Crimea, but
this seems to echo the Georgia playbook a bit more closely:
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During the NATO summit in Bucharest in April 2008, American president George W. Bush campaigned for offering a Membership Action Plan (MAP) to Georgia and Ukraine. However, Germany and France said that offering a MAP to Ukraine and Georgia would be "an unnecessary offence" for Russia... Russian President Vladimir Putin was in Bucharest during the summit. At the conclusion of the summit on 4 April, Putin said that NATO's enlargement towards Russia "would be taken in Russia as a direct threat to the security of our country". Following the Bucharest summit, Russian hostility increased and Russia started to actively prepare for the invasion of Georgia.
On 15 July, the United States and Russia began two parallel military trainings in the Caucasus, though Russia denied that the identical timing was intentional... The Russian exercise was named Caucasus 2008 and units of the North Caucasus Military District, including the 58th Army, took part... Russian troops stayed near the border with Georgia after the end of their exercise on 2 August, instead of going back to their barracks. Later, Dale Herspring, an expert on Russian military affairs at Kansas State University, described the Russian exercise as "exactly what they executed in Georgia just a few weeks later [...] a complete dress rehearsal."
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How did that one play out? Russia crossed the border to supposedly quell unrest. With Georgian loyalists sufficiently disrupted, Russia agreed to a ceasefire and withdrawal. They
then recognized the separatists government and returned to provide military assistance. Elegant.
Last week, NATO-affiliated intelligence services claimed to have
solid information on a casus belli plot by Russia, much like their
Chechen thing.
pretend_writer_ |
This is a brilliant counterintelligence operation by the US and its allies. They normally don't publish or leak this much detail but they're trying to limit Putin's course of action (remove the power of a false flag attack), deprive him of the element of surprise, remove the effect of misinformation and propaganda, and raise the domestic cost on European countries that might be wavering (Germany) by socializing their publics about the risks of a Russian invasion thereby fortifying the western alliance.
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Or, the
Polandball take:
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Click for the full strip. |
For a little while today, it looked like NATO's strategy had worked. Russia had announced a troop withdrawal. But then a janky-sounding IED was found in Donbass and Putin denounced a 'genocide' there. The Olympics aren't yet over, so we have some time.
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Source. Putin, the US and Canada distracted by freedom convoys? Rowsdower would have never abided. |
Gloomhaven
Ted retired and unlocked the bear dude, so we're heavy on tanks and DPS, light on healing.
Quartermaster build
I played Quartermaster on the tabletop edition and thought he was an okay support character. On Steam, my level six build went a completely different direction and is pretty great.
At low levels, he doesn't do much damage until you unlock his Attack 5 card. Even then, he's kind of meh.
But then you get
the Proficiency/Reinforced Steel combination that is probably how he's meant to be played. There may be some better late-campaign items, but
having continuously-refreshing Eagle-Eye Goggles with a +1 modifier (for item use) is quite nice. Adding to that:
- The Quartermaster has bunch of AoE attacks and mine has a Battle Axe (double melee). This equates to decent damage and lots of opportunities to pull modifiers.
- Consumable items add buffs and status effects, the Quartermaster can refresh these.
- Not attacking? No problem, he can do a bottom move with boots of striding and refresh those. This means you don't need to worry about having large moves in your deck.
With the Quartermaster's card retrieval actions, he can get by just fine having burned two cards for their persistent effects.
Instruments
My surprise when the instrument flash cards had an ocarina, triforce included.
Some posts from this site with similar content.
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