Review | 2022.06.18
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Mega-Lithium |
Jerome Powell, the current lawyer pretending to be an economist and chairman of the Federal Reserve strongly believes he can talk his way out of this. Powell went to Georgetown Law and has no training as an economist. He believes so strongly in his silver tongue that he uses nonsense phrases like "forward guidance", "data dependent", and "we have the tools". In December 2018, he caused a taper tantrum when he announced that the Fed would be reducing the pace of its purchases of Treasury bonds in order to reduce the amount of money fed into the economy. Bond yields rose and stocks collapsed. This was predictable and actually cathartic and necessary. Jay Powell, the lawyer, chickened out and got tweeted at fiercely by Trump and quickly reversed course. This sent a signal to Wall Street that "this guys a puss" and he will never take the punch bowl away. He never has. The 75 bps increase in the federal funds rate that was telegraphed, leaked and jawboned so much that if effectively became meaningless. This is against an 8.6% rate of inflation that a year ago he called "transitory". There is a forest fire and Jay Powell shows up with a squirt gun and his silver tongue. Paul Volcker was a giant, he was 6'7" and was educated at the London School of Economics, Harvard and Princeton. When inflation roared its ugly head in the 1980s, he did not go on TV, provide "data dependent forward guidance" or try to jawbone. He silently raised the federal funds rate to 20% and it took seven Secret Service men to carry his balls around. |
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2022.06.15
FinishedThe veranda gets artificial grass and is finally complete. |
2022.06.23
Dall-eExperimenting with Dall-e text inputs, moving a sandbox example offline, and troubleshooting jax/cuda. |
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2023.03.16
The gauntletInvesting tidbits, inflation, and recent economics headlines. |
2022.07.18
IndicatorsInterest rates, housing, and catalysts. |
2021.01.26
Will Gamestop?On Friday, Gamestop had rocketed to the 70s and closed the week more modestly. I decided to fomo in; if the millennial traders were going to yeet the rich, I had better join them in case I end up against the wall some day. |
www.moneyandbanking.com
Inflation Policy - Money, Banking and Financial Markets"Headline" inflation is making painful headlines again. In October, consumer prices rose by 6.2 percent from a year ago-the most rapid gain in at least three decades. Measures of trend inflation also are showing unsettling increases, with the trimmed mean CPI up by 4%. And there are reasons to believe that inflation will stay well above policymakers' 2% target for an extended period. In this post, we briefly summarize how we got here and argue that the Federal Reserve needs to change ... |
deadlydollshouse.blogspot.com
The Deadly Doll's House of Horror Nonsense: Going UpYou have to respecta movie title that tells it like it is. Quick Plot: A gala for an investment group is starting on the 52nd floor of the ... |
mebfaber.com
Episode #508: Jim Bianco on "The Biggest Economic Event of Our Lifetime" & The End of the 40-Year Bond Bull Market - Meb Fabe...Episode #508: Jim Bianco on The Biggest Economic Event of Our Lifetime & The End of the 40-Year Bond Bull Market Guest: Jim Bianco is the President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, which offers macro investment research on financial markets. Date Recorded: 11/8/2023 | Run-Time: 1:23:49 Summary: In todays episode, Jim shares why 2020 [] |